• milkjug@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    78
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    1 year ago

    What I’m reading is that there’s another 53% left to lose, come on musk hurry the fuck up already.

  • Dr. Dabbles@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    68
    arrow-down
    3
    ·
    1 year ago

    Just this once,. I actually believe in his abilities. He can bring that 47% down to 0%. I just know he can. Come on, Elon. We’re all counting on you now.

  • whereisk@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    28
    ·
    1 year ago

    “That’s according to a Monday report from The Wall Street Journal. Given Musk purchased Twitter for $44 billion late last year, the markdown would put the company’s current valuation at about $23 billion, based on Ark’s estimate.”

    $23b is what it was actually valued before Musk crazily overpaid for it and took over.

    Now, that estimate comes from an investor that financed part of that purchase (so they’re already suspect for paying double the odds back then) that still thinks there’s a great future ahead for Twitter under Musk - so it’s wildly optimistic.

    The real value you could find someone paying for it would be more likely in the mid single digits.

    • InverseParallax@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      18
      ·
      1 year ago

      It’s worth about $6b, this is not a good time for a social media company built around ad revenue that’s hemorrhaging customers and also happens to be saddled to the brim with short-term debt.

      This whole comment should be bankrupt.

      • FoxBJK@midwest.social
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        1 year ago

        Let’s also remember that in all of Twitter’s years of operation they only had a couple quarters where they actually turned a profit. Even after Trump made it ‘the place to see whatever the President was talking about’, they still struggled to make money.

        Elon thinks he can fix that, but the real fools are the investors who believed him.

        • T156@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          Let’s also remember that in all of Twitter’s years of operation they only had a couple quarters where they actually turned a profit

          And if memory serves, some of their most profitable quarters were during the lockdowns, which don’t exactly happen regularly.

        • InverseParallax@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          He doesn’t, he was smoking like crazy for a while, it’s a whole story, basically he smoked himself stupid during covid and only quit a few months ago.

          He said a bunch of stupid shit when he was high because he thought he was beyond any and all question, and this is one thing he got caught on because it had a material effect on a publicly traded company.

          I’d feel bad for him if he wasn’t such a complete moron who let the paranoia get the better of him.

      • T156@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        1 year ago

        ad revenue that’s hemorrhaging customers

        It’s also haemorrhaging ad revenue, since Musk recently stated that ad volumes were down 50% or so.

        • Saneless@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          1 year ago

          Twitter ad buys were junk when it was considered a good site. I can’t imagine how poorly it’s doing since the users are largely bluetlicker shitstains

      • jscummy@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        1 year ago

        Is there ever a good time for that type of company? Hemorrhaging customers and being saddled to the brim with debt seem like pretty big problems at any time

  • ShroOmeric@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    26
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Last thing I heard, Cathie Wood is not much better than Musk and Ark is quite a scam. Did I get it wrong?

    • clutchmatic@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      15
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      She does not have superhuman stock picking and macroeconomic environment decoding abilities. She got massively lucky with China until Xi decided that large successful Chinese enterprises were a danger to his Party and COVID+inflation stressed all other companies

    • PopShark@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      I had some of her ETFs. Yes, had. They did okay when the topic they cover was getting media attention or breakthroughs or whatever but granted I was only paying attention to them during the late 2020 bull market when most everything did at least okay.

      Specifically, my shares of her gene therapy ETF did well. My shares of her robotics and technology one did meh. I can’t honestly remember how my share or fraction of her fintech one did lol

    • dragontamer@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      Religiously, I have severe problems with prosperity gospel bullshit that Cathie Wood (and similar investors) follow. These people are literally praying to God for more money, and trying to convince the religious folk out there that this is normal. (Ignoring the fact that Jesus literally warned us against this practice)

      And not like how poor people pray to God to have enough money to keep their house or other necessities. She’s literally praying for the excessive amounts of wealth that only exists in top-level venture capitalism firms.

      I’m somewhat religious myself, and I know there’s a lot of atheists out there. But I feel the need to point out the prosperity gospel bullshit whenever she comes up, because I think this is a dangerous religious movement that needs to be kept in check.


      So religiously at least, I think Cathie Wood is a scam. What she invests into is momentum-following / following of hype for the most part (kind of standard in the great scheme of crazed venture capitalist firms these days). Its really the religious slant she represents that bothers me more so than others.

  • xenomor@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    21
    ·
    1 year ago

    The real question in my mind, is will the investment markets punish Musk as a result of such an epic demonstration of business incompetence. For whatever reason they haven’t done that so far.

    • bob_wiley@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      7
      arrow-down
      14
      ·
      1 year ago

      What investment markets? Twitter is now a privately held company. The only people who need to care about it’s valuation are the people who loaned Elon the money. If he would have bought it outright, no one would need to care, nor would anything need to be disclosed.

      • Fritto@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        24
        ·
        1 year ago

        Musk is the CEO of a publicly traded company (Tesla) and the CEO of a company that just recently sold shares on the secondary market (SpaceX). The valuation of these companies is wrapped up in market sentiment about Elon Musk.

        • bob_wiley@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          4
          arrow-down
          15
          ·
          1 year ago

          The valuation of those companies should be wrapped up in their performance, financials, and future outlook. Elon has said many times he spends 80% of his time on engineering, which means he’s mostly a mascot as CEO, not the one dealing with the actual business.

          If any investors did have a problem with Elon as a person and they let that influence how they value the companies, I’d think they’d see it as a good thing that he was distracted by Twitter as it would be less time spent with Tesla and SpaceX. Either they like him and have no issues, or they dislike him and are happy he’s potentially MIA. Seems like a win-win.

          • THE_STORM_BLADE@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            9
            ·
            edit-2
            1 year ago

            The valuation of those companies should be wrapped up in their performance, financials, and future outlook.

            Yeahhhhh, about that…

      • Chozo@kbin.social
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        31
        arrow-down
        2
        ·
        1 year ago

        Anything is worth whatever somebody is willing to pay for it.

        This dumb bastard just happened to be willing to pay $44 billion.

        • CileTheSane@kbin.social
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          19
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          Actually, Musk didn’t want to pay anything for Twitter, but was willing to pay $44 billion to avoid the discovery process.

          • flipht@kbin.social
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            17
            ·
            1 year ago

            Excellent point, lest anyone forget that he was really just running his mouth and got too far in before the mania dropped.

          • MidwestMayonaiseSalad@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            12
            ·
            1 year ago

            I don’t think it was even that. He was so 100% going to lose the fight to not buy Twitter that even for someone with his resources it wasn’t worth fighting. He made a weak attempt to embarrass Twitter into backing out due to public opinion, but didn’t really have any options after that. He just fucked up that magnificently with the initial contract.

        • Pons_Aelius@kbin.social
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          16
          ·
          edit-2
          1 year ago

          True but It is like a reverse Schrödinger valuation.

          When EM offered 44B, that was twitter’s value until the transaction was complete.

          Now it is only worth what someone else will pay for it…

      • TWeaK@lemm.ee
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        1 year ago

        Musk didn’t pay $44bn. He paid $26bn, then $5bn was from other investors and the remaining $13bn was a loan Twitter took out to buy itself on Musk’s behalf.

        Yay, leveraged buyouts! They totally aren’t used to avoid tax and kill businesses!

  • Hogger85b@kbin.social
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    12
    arrow-down
    3
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Musk didn’t buy twitter as a purely financial return investment. He wants to control the narrative, be a media mogul and get election favours. He brought it to be a cult leader and spread his ideology

    • bighi@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      Step 2 was to severely limit the time people could spend on the platform, preventing them from seeing the ads