The Fermi Paradox is a thought experiment, it’s not a physical law of the universe. There are big, essentially made-up assumptions that have to be plugged into the formula to end up with the answer of “there’s probably lots of aliens out there”. I think we probably both agree on those assumptions being reasonable, but they are not proven. For these reasons, I simply do not agree that it’s relevant at all in this discussion.

Keep in mind that we’re not talking about the existence of an alien civilization, or even specifically that aliens have visited Earth in modern times. Rather, the big question is about whether aliens are visiting Earth and some humans know about it, but are keeping it a secret. That is the core of what people like Grusch are claiming. To prove this we need both evidence of alien life existing (already a huge claim, one of the biggest questions science has yet to tackle) and evidence of a human conspiracy.

Theoretically this must be happening in other countries, too, right? If not, that means there’s only been very limited incidents and not the hundreds to thousands of incidents over decades that UFO apologists claim. Except all of this is also tied into the UAP sightings which we now know are pretty widespread… looking at the full picture, things start to collapse under their own logic.